Population and demography · S3R842
Live births in Lithuania
The number of live births in Lithuania per month, assigned to the mother's place of usual residence. Published monthly by Valstybės duomenų agentūra.
Trailing 12 months
| Period | Value | Change, % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 1,568 | +0.3% | preliminary |
| August 2026 | 1,563 | −6.0% | preliminary |
| July 2026 | 1,663 | +17.9% | preliminary |
| June 2026 | 1,410 | +1.6% | preliminary |
| May 2026 | 1,388 | −2.2% | preliminary |
| April 2026 | 1,419 | +0.5% | revised |
| March 2026 | 1,412 | +15.3% | revised |
| February 2026 | 1,225 | +11.3% | revised |
| January 2026 | 1,101 | −19.7% | revised |
| December 2025 | 1,371 | +2.9% | |
| November 2025 | 1,332 | −12.0% | |
| October 2025 | 1,514 | −6.4% |
What this number means
The number of live births in Lithuania per month, assigned to the mother's place of usual residence. Revised months are assigned to the month of birth; the most recent, still preliminary months are assigned to the month of registration, so the latest months are revised later.
Source
Published by Valstybės duomenų agentūra.
Indicator code: S3R842.
2026 projected
computed here| Projected 2026 | 16,695 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 actual | 17,642 | −5.4% |
| 80% interval | 16,545 – 16,893 | |
| Crude birth rate | 5.78 ‰ | 5.73 – 5.85 |
| Fertility rate (estimate) | 0.984 | 0.975 – 0.996 |
This is a calculation by this page, not a forecast by the agency.
Method: a monthly seasonal index from the previous 10 years, with a linearly weighted level so recent months count for more. The first 9 months carry 76.9% of a year rather than 75.0%, which is why simply scaling by 12/9 would be wrong: July runs 24% above December.
Note: January 2026 sits 4.9σ from the rest of the year — that looks like a registration-timing artefact rather than a real move. The weighted method downweights it automatically.
Checked: the method was run over 22 earlier years, each using only the data that existed at the time. Mean error 0.74%, worst 1.74%. The interval comes from those errors, not from an assumed distribution.
At a glance
| Change over one period | +0.3% | |
|---|---|---|
| Change over a year | −3.1% | |
| Highest | 1,663 | July 2026 |
| Lowest | 1,101 | January 2026 |
| Trailing 12-month total | 16,966 | October 2025 – September 2026 |
| Previous 12-month total | 17,890 | −5.2% |
Changes are percentages relative to the comparison value. A zero or negative comparison value is shown as unavailable. Highest and lowest refer to the selected period.